Last year, I professed my unabashed man-crush on Pablo Sandoval. So it’s only fitting that he’s my “value pick” at first base according to my points-per-plate appearance calibration (using statistical projections from the 2010 Bill James Handbook). Displayed in the previous link is the point breakdown in a standard points league. My approach to deciphering value is based on draft position, depth, and potential for at-bats.
Category Archives: Fantasy Baseball
>July is already halfway over is it’s time to start looking for those notorious “second-half-studs.” Scanning over the last two seasons, using OPS as my guide, I found two constants that could be had a potentially moderate price.
“Doumit has his whole rehab process laid out, including a July 5 return. “We are very pleased with his progress,” GM Neal Huntington said last week. The catcher has been out since April 23.”
“As catcher Ryan Doumit’s rehabilitation schedule stands, he will report Tuesday to Pirate City for a minimum of four days of catching and designated hitting in Gulf Coast League games followed by additional at-bats in simulated games.
Doumit, after late-April wrist surgery, projects to head north July 5 for the rest of his assignment if everything works out well. Then, he would report to Class AAA Indianapolis or Class AA Altoona, both of whom play at home that day. The rest will depend upon his progress, “how he feels and how he does,” Russell said. “Once we do send him down, we don’t want him to have really a scheduled day off.”
“Ryan Doumit will start his rehab assignment next week for the GCL Pirates. He will alternate between C and DH. The plan is then to send him to Altoona or Indianapolis On July 5th, since the Baby Bucs have an off day. Manager John Russell says, ‘Once we do send him down, we don’t want him to have really a scheduled day off'” (Northside Notch Blog).
“Ryan Doumit will start his rehab on Tuesday, and is shooting for a return just before the All-Star Break, but will probably be back right after the break” (BuccoFans.com).
And here’s a DL-based blog talking about Doumit’s looong recovery:
“RYAN DOUMIT is set to go on a rehab assignment this week and has a tentative return date of July 5. This would put him just past the original 10-week recovery period for his broken right Scaphoid (wrist) bone. The fact that he is even able to return this soon is pretty impressive, as Scaphoid fractures tend to be one of most hit-or-miss fractures as far as good healing is concerned. The surgeon who performed the procedure to stabilize the fracture must have done an exceptional job stabilizing it. Those of you who held onto this catcher who can rake will be rewarded handsomely. He was dropped in many leagues, so take a quick look to see if he’s out there – he is easily a top-ten catcher” (Disabled List Informer).
>Brief post time:
“We’re aware that if a relapse happens where the tendon ruptures even more, well, that’s major,” Quentin said. “That’s something that’s going to take longer, maybe even the rest of the season. So we’re thinking that if that tendon goes, that’s a two- to four-month recovery. Where we’re at in the baseball season, two-to-four really doesn’t work out as far as being able to play again this season. That’s more of the concern right now.”
Wow. Personally, I am a horribly disappointed Carlos Quentin owner in a 12-team keeper league. When I saw this news, my initial impulse was to throw something… hard. Or, better yet, punch something… hard. That impulse, however, reminded me of last season… when Carlos Quentin broke his hand in frustration…
I was reading an article at Sportsfrog.com a little while ago… it demanded that I trade Nick Blackburn. Bronto, the author, suggests:
“Blackburn has benefited from a better-than average BABIP, which stood at .278 before today’s game compared to last season’s .308 BABIP. And he’s walking more hitters too. After walking just 39 last year, Blackburn has walked 25 people this season after walking just 39 in 2008.”
Yes, this is all 100% accurate. However, with this all know, do we think anyone would be willing to deal anything for Blackburn and if so, what? Personally, I don’t think you’re going to pull the wool over anyone’s eyes if you’re in a competitive league. Blackburn is what he is: a nice option in mixed-leagues and a really, really good option in AL-Only leagues.
“Blackburn has garnered a reputation as a “fly-ball pitcher,” especially from Twins’ announcers Bert Blyleven and Dick Bremer. However, Blackburn’s ground ball to fly ball ratio is 1.21 through his first 13 starts of 2009. As a contrast, Carlos Silva was often considered by many, including Blyleven and Bremer, to be a “sinkerball pitcher” who induced many ground balls. In his final season as a Twin in 2007, Silva had a ground ball to fly ball ratio of 1.41.”
In the end, it comes down to whether or not YOU like Blackburn. You can find all the stats in the world to support either side as Bronto and Pietrzak deliver above. For me, I say stick with him. Let him ride your bench next week and throw him in for two-starts in Week 13. Unless the Twins trade their top-flight defenders, I’d expect more of the same.